Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics 266, the . On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. robert kraft granddaughter. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Instagram did not return a 200. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Edit your transcribed text. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Today those numbers have flipped. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. 11:03 AM. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. What does it take to make democracy work? Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. No products in the cart. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Thanks! Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. MANAGER'S SALARY. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. 450 episodes. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. Galen speaks with him. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The data behind that evolution is striking. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Rev. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. By May 21, 2021 0 . Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. heritage commons university of utah. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. I'm Galen Truk. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Nate Silver's. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. So, the usual. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. 9 days ago. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Whereas Tester . How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. File Upload. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. Dive in and Share your insights! The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. All rights reserved. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. 01:06 PM. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. police- settlements. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation.