Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. Eric Dickerson 8. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. The fact is, he never . Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB12. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Yeah, us, too. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. O.J. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. Avoid. Adrian . Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. Single most overrated running backs of all time. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. He doesnt have that much of a skill set difference with Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed either. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. John Riggins 19. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. . Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. . Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. Jerome Bettis 16. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. Lynn's mauling offensive line and run-first mentality give Swift a chance to make good on his ADP, but he is being drafted at his ceiling. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. most overrated running backs of all time. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. Tony Dorsett 12. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. Instead, McKissic is a receiving-centric option where targets will be at a premium considering the competition in Washington, which was not present in the 2020 version with notable wide receiver additions Curtis Samuel, Adam Humphries, and Dyami Brown. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. So what's the concern? There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. But after he sat a game due to injury, the Bears' lead runner came out hot after their bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. 2022/07/02 . Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. 15 receptions, 111 yards, less than a TD per year. J.D. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. Curtis Martin 11. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. Malcolm Brown should play plenty, and this offense isn't likely to be explosive enough to support two running backs in any meaningful way. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season.